Thu 23 Oct 2008
Creating Your Own Personal Finance Hedges
Posted by RichSlick under Money Management, Slow Wealth
[2] Comments
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There are many approaches to saving, investing and cash flow operations on a personal level that I’ve read over the years. Most center on tight budgets, frugality and self-deprecation but I prefer to focus on capital investment and hedging.
In hedging, I often calculate and create investments to offset anticipated expenses to realize a net gain or at the very least, break even on cash flow. To illustrate an example, I’ll use the popular iPhone scenario. Because of my boycott for the rest of the year, I haven’t actually purchased an iPhone but I have looked into the cost and started thinking about my hedge.
The iPhone cost, as best I can determine will be:
- iPhone (8gb) - $199
- iPhone Plan - $70/month
- Total Cost over two years - $1,879 (armortized cost of iPhone = $78.29/month for 24 months)
So if it’s going to cost about $1900 to own an iPhone and pay for the monthly service then I need to find a way to come up with the money for that. While some will offer up suggestions like “make your own soap at home” to save $5/month and a hundred other tortuous tasks to save a few bucks, I prefer to think of where I can come up with the money to pay for the iPhone and service plan.
Most of this money will go to AT&T and I know that AT&T pays a regular dividend so it makes sense to research how I can get money out of AT&T while I’m giving them money. In 2007, AT&T consistently paid $0.355 cents per share dividend and in 2008 AT&T paid a dividend of $0.40 per share.
We don’t want to assume that AT&T will pay at the high end of the dividend given the current economic turmoil so let’s use $0.30 per share dividend as a conservative measure. So how many shares do we need to own to make up the anticipated $78.29/month in negative cash flow?
If the divided is $0.30/share and we need $78.29 then $78.29 / $0.30 = 260.972 shares.
AT&T is currently trading at approximately $24 per share so $24 x 260.972 = $6,263.33.
So in my scenario, I would likely buy 300 shares of AT&T ($7,200) to pay for the cash outflows of an iPhone plan. If that’s too steep a price, there are other methods using covered calls to lower the initial cash outflow. Since we’re talking about a two year plan, it would be possible to sell January 2011 $25 calls to reduce the capital outflow by $5/share but the risk exists that your shares can be assigned and you’d lose the dividend cash flow.
What is the net result here? The net result is a “free” iphone & monthly plan by careful capital investment.
I could spruce up the deal by getting $10,000 in credit card arbitrage at zero percent for 12 months, investing it in 400 shares of AT&T @ $24/share, earning the dividend, paying for the iPhone plan and then paying back the minimum on the credit card until the bill comes due and paying it off or rolling the debt onto another credit card so I finance the whole thing free and get a little kickback.
I know, someone will post a comment like, “just don’t buy an iPhone and you could save $2000…invest that at 6% for a thousand years and you could be a billionaire” while technically true would deprive me of the coolness of an iPhone today and would deprive AT&T, Apple and others of jobs, revenue and ROI.
This works well for virtually anything, buying a GE fridge, look into GE stock; buying Proctor & Gamble goods weekly, look into P&G stock; buying electricity montly, look into XLU. Of course, if buying individual stocks, do your research and stick to the long term players or better yet buy the equivalent ETFs so you can diversify yet still capture cash flow.
It’s just one of the many ways to get rich slick.











