Back in January I entered into a collar on RBLX with the hopes that it would rebound and provide an annualized 10% return. Since I wrote that post, RBLX has fallend by 50% or so but I had a collar so my losses were limited to about $250 on this trade. This is what I…
Category: Asset Valuation
New App: Current Market Valuation
Do you know the most important thing about investing? For me, it’s not losing money! One of the websites I visit periodicially is www.currentmarketvaluation.com to check the status of the S&P 500 against various measures. I don’t subscribe to the service, I just look through the models and look at some of the standard deviations….
AI Ecosystem: Compute→RAM/Storage→Power?
The chip makers like NVDIA and TSM seem to be running out of steam. They are still growing but the rage is now all on RAM and Storage with companies like Micron growing 400% in months. This got me thinking about the whole AI ecosystem and what might come next. Rather than spend hours of…
I Inherited LP Albums, AI Built Me A Database
A friend recently had a family member pass away and as a result they needed to get rid of stuff. I was asked to help and came across hundreds of LP albums destined for the trash and was asked if I wanted them. I decided to take the albums but I wanted to know what…
Lost Decades, Moves To Cash & Sequence of Returns
A Wealth of Common Sense had a great post about the Sequence of Returns which is a must read because it fits into a theme I’ve been writing about for a while now. The Sequence of Returns post makes the argument that the time to buy stocks is when they’re getting hammered because ultimately, when…
AI: Analyzing Asset Class & Sector Performance Returns With AI
Here’s another quick and amazing way to analyze data with AI. I visited this website and found the chart below. I wanted to know quickly which asset class had the best returns during the time period. Normally I would type the data into excel and start running averages but I decided to let AI do…
CNBC’s “Official” NFL Team Valuations – Wrong!
Regular readers of this blog know that I like to dive into the numbers behind different things such as this recent post on Olympic gold medals, or this one on stock market exchanges or this one about U.S. state’s prosperity. All three of those posts have something in common, it’s the Pareto Distribution. When I…
Evaluating Municipal Bonds
I’ve been writing about municipal bonds lately largely because I love the tax free interest these bonds generate and it helps with taxes so I’m writing about munis yet again. This time I am going to write about my decision making process for which bonds to buy. Lately, I am getting a flood of municipal…
How I Pick Stocks To Invest (Tax Deferred)
I think the stock market, in general, is very over-valued but that doesn’t mean there isn’t value in the market. I have a methodology I use to find the best stocks for me to invest in but before we get to that let’s cover a few topics. Free Cash Flow The best valuation method for…
My Favorite Market Valuation Tool
Warren Buffett sold 100 million shares of Apple stock recently and while taxation was supposedly the main driver of the decision, it wouldn’t surprise me one bit if the entire stock market corrected 20 to 40 percent over the next 12 to 18 month. You Gotta Know When To Hold’em I consider myself primarily a…